– LEBANON’S ELECTION DELAYED AGAIN
According to the Lebanese constitution the President, who must be a Christian, is elected to six years by a majority of 2/3 from the Lebanese parliament, which has 128 seats. If a president cannot be elected in the first round of vote he can be elected in the second round with a regular majority providing that the minimum forum for a legal session of the Parliament is 86 (2/3+) members, from 128, attend and participate in the election.
The meaning is that the two blocks have the power to veto any candidate just by absence from the parliament and by that to prevent the legal 86 member forum required to elect a new president.
The pro Syrian Presidant Émile Lahoud’s term expires on 11/23/2007. Yesterday 11/10/2007 the Lebanese Parliament session to elect a new president was delayed again. There is, yet, only less then two weeks in order to avoid a military conflict that can turn in no time, to a regional crisis and a civil war in Lebanon.
Indeed, last week, in the beginning of 11/2007, Hizbullah went on large scale maneuver, with about 20,000 troops, most of them reserves mobilized from their homes. Officially the drill was to examine the ability of Hizbullah to cope with an Israeli possible invasion to south Lebanon controlled by UNIFI’L. Practically the maneuver was a warning to the pro-Western “March 14 Coalition” block in the Lebanese Parliament to accept a pro Syrian president and the current status status-quo or risk a military confrontation with the most efficient military power in Lebanon – the Hizbullah.
The Lebanese crisis is expected to reach its match point in the end of November when USA and the international community will be over occupied with the Annapolis peace conference between Israel and the Palestinians, scheduled to the end of this month in USA. (see – VERTIGO)
The Lebanese presidential election is a wonderful opportunity for Syria and Iran to disrupt Annapolis peace conference, to set new balance of power in Lebanon and to emphasize who has the last word in the Middle East, Iran or USA.
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