– ASSAD’S SYRIAN REGIME ON THE SLOPE

Published May 31, 2015

Russia aside Iran, was a strong and constant supporter of Bashar assad’s regime in Syria. They sent military experts to advise the Syrian Army, supplied the Syrian regime with technology and weapons and backed the regime in all international arenas, especially in the UN Security council. But there are growing signs that Russia is accepting the reality that the days of Bashar Assad’s regime as the representative of the so called “Syria” as a state are numbered.

According to a Russian Emergencies Ministry, on Friday 05/29/2015, Russian plane will deliver humanitarian aid to Syria, evacuating Russian citizens on its way back from the conflict-torn country. A first sign that Russia is downgrading its support to Syria to limited humanitarian aid. Evacuation of foreign citizens are always a promo to serious deterioration . The plane is expected to bring back around 90 Russian citizens, as well as nationals of other countries, from Latakia, the next goal of Jaish al-Fateh, or ‘Conquest Army,’ led by Jabhat al-Nusra and supported by Turkey, Saudi Arabia and Qatar.

The sources of Iran, amide sharp decrease in oil prices and international sanctions, are overstretched between the Shia Militias in Iraq, the Popular Mobilisation forces. in Arabic the al-Hashd al-Shaabi, the Houthis in Yemen now fighting Saudi Arabia and the Hizbullah in Lebanon, initially constructed to build a threat against Israel and now is the last support to Bashar Assad and under existential threat itself.

Sunni Soldiers defected, almost all of them, from the Syrian Army that is, now, totally leaning on non Sunni minorities in Syria, the Druze and the Christians along with Bashar’s own Alawite Minority, all considered infidels by the Sunni radicals whether from I.S.I.S or Jabhat al-Nusra, Bashar Assad has no longer control on most of Syrian economic sources like the oilfields and its military sources are not enough to fight all the current fronts, mainly to keep open the corridor between Damascus to the Alawite province in North-West Syria on the Mountainous Mediterranean shore – Latakia, .the provincial capital Tartus, the Navy base, once used by the Russians, and Banias.

The options of Bashar Assad are ; —

A. – To fight from Damascus up to the end and to hope something will change, especially the relations between ISIS and Jabhat al-Nusra who are also foes.

B.- To withdrawal to the Alawite province and to form a lebanon like state of minorities – aמ Alawite state with constant conflict with the Sunni radicalisation at least in the next two decades (a Israeli like situation).

C. – To flee with his family from Syria and to seek asylum in Iran hoping that ISIS and Nusra front will kill each other as efficient as they can. Europe should, in this scenario, to prepare itself to few millions more of refugees in addition to the millions who are already on their way to change the demographic of the continent.

In all scenarios the war in Syria is still far from over, like in Afghanistan in the 90th’, after the Russian withdrawal Sunni factions will continue to fight each other and all of them, who were once united against Israel, will continue to fight the religious war against the Shiites in the Middle East.

****************************.

Read more ;

–
SOUTNIKNEWS
WORLDBULLETIN

Please Share...